Friday, November 7, 2014

Short Announcement

In order to not bury the lede - I will not be covering basketball games this season or any NC State athletics in the foreseeable future.

My wife and I are expecting twin girls in the spring, and while my initial plan was to cover basketball this season and then hang it up, I've certainly learned the past couple of months that the easiest way to make God laugh is to tell him your plans. So while it wasn't how I mapped things out, I've hit the end of the road as any sort of reporter/journalist.

Ultimately this makes very little difference to anyone whose followed my work for the past few months - I've basically been done already. This is just rubber stamping. I still intend to write some for Backing the Pack, as long as Steven lets me hang around over there, but as someone whose been covering NC State athletics in some capacity since 2002 it will be a very strange thing to not be at PNC Arena - or anywhere else - this year. I will also still be doing some TV writing for Raleigh & Company, if that's your thing. But I think there should be a clear divide between someone who covers a team - who actually gathers the information the rest of us dissect - and someone who doesn't, so I wanted to make clear my crossing of that threshold.

I have been immeasurably lucky to have been able to do this for over a decade as nothing more than a very much part-time writer. While I have seen many great (and many gut-wrenching) games, the real fun of the gig was always the relationships and interactions I have formed along the way. Sports writing full time is a largely thankless, grinding experience that gets harder and harder every year as team continue to circle the wagons and control the message. Despite all the barriers being put in place, they keep working because they love sports and love telling stories. And I will greatly miss being part of that community, even in the small role I had.

There are so, so many people who have supported me and helped me that there is absolutely no way I could properly thank all of you in this piece. But even if all you've done is read my work occasionally - thanks. It's been awesome.

Monday, March 3, 2014

All-ACC: 20 Finalists with Advanced Stats

This is my personal list of the 20 most deserving players for All-ACC consideration.

I've provided some general advanced stats for each player, using only ACC play. You'll notice no per game stats here because I want to be tempo neutral to even out the discrepancy between how UNC plays and how Virginia or Syracuse play.

I initially had Win Shares included here for those that wanted to judge based on not only value to the team but value to overall wins, but to me those numbers made no sense (Eric Atkins was in the top five, as was Rion Brown), so I ditched them. Good job, good effort Win Shares but you aren't there yet.

These are mostly offensive stats, with some basic defensive stuff like defensive rebounding, steals and blocks.

Note: All columns are sortable just click on the header

Player eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg
T.J. Warren 0.553 10.2 10 10.1 7.1 3.2 1.9 11.2 35.5 112.8
Jabari Parker 0.473 14.6 23.6 19 5.7 2.0 4.6 13.1 31.4 109.5
Lamar Patterson 0.477 4.1 13.1 8.7 29.9 2.7 1 14.8 30.4 109.7
K.J. McDaniels 0.484 9.4 15.6 12.6 12.4 2.3 8.2 13.6 28.5 110.8
C.J. Fair 0.435 4.5 16.4 10.3 6.2 1.5 2.9 9.3 26.4 101.4
Olivier Hanlan 0.53 1.5 8.8 5.3 19.3 1.3 0.3 12.5 26.2 118.2
James M. McAdoo 0.466 11.5 15.4 13.5 10.7 2.2 2.7 8.8 25.3 105.8
Rion Brown 0.529 4.1 14.7 9.4 12.4 1.1 0.6 7.3 25.1 119
Aaron Thomas 0.489 4.4 11.4 8.2 13 1.9 0.8 12.7 24.1 116.3
Dezmine Wells 0.515 2.3 10.7 6.5 15.9 2.2 1.8 16 23.9 116.4
Malcolm Brogdon 0.511 4.3 16.9 10.8 21.1 2.7 0.2 7.2 23.6 128.7
Rodney Hood 0.538 1.9 10.5 6.1 12.8 1.4 0.7 8.9 23.5 117.3
Joe Harris 0.528 2.2 7.6 5 21.5 2.9 1.3 8.1 23.3 118.5
Seth Allen 0.509 2.3 6.1 4.2 21 1.8 0.9 13 23.1 111.6
Okaro White 0.541 7.8 15.9 12.2 5 1.6 3.7 12.9 21.9 119.5
Eric Atkins 0.502 2.6 5 3.8 25.4 1.8 0.5 12.5 21.8 110.4
Talib Zanna 0.538 14.6 19.8 17.2 2.3 1.2 3.3 12.5 21.6 121
Marcus Paige 0.519 1.2 7.6 4.4 25.4 2.5 0.5 12.8 21.3 119.4
Tyler Ennis 0.456 2.5 8.3 5.3 31.4 2.7 0.7 14.1 21.1 112.3


Traditional Stats 

Just for comparison's sake

Player FG% 2P% 3P% FT% TRB AST STL BLK TOV PTS
T.J. Warren 0.519 0.556 0.357 0.68 6.1 0.9 1.8 0.6 2.7 24.5
Olivier Hanlan 0.449 0.518 0.364 0.814 3 2.9 0.8 0.1 2.1 17.8
Lamar Patterson 0.395 0.42 0.364 0.747 4.8 4.6 1.5 0.3 2.9 17.5
K.J. McDaniels 0.444 0.532 0.254 0.818 7.6 1.6 1.2 2.7 2.5 17.1
Jabari Parker 0.441 0.485 0.286 0.718 9.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 2.4 16.9
C.J. Fair 0.414 0.443 0.262 0.71 6.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.8 16.2
Rion Brown 0.438 0.529 0.352 0.721 5.5 1.6 0.6 0.2 1.1 15.9
Marcus Paige 0.42 0.46 0.383 0.828 2.9 4.9 1.5 0.2 2.1 15.8
Rodney Hood 0.441 0.457 0.423 0.778 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.4 15.5
Dezmine Wells 0.494 0.549 0.241 0.823 3.6 2.4 1.2 0.5 2.4 15.3
Malcolm Brogdon 0.452 0.463 0.423 0.903 5.8 3 1.4 0.1 1 15
Aaron Thomas 0.422 0.425 0.417 0.866 4.6 2 1.1 0.2 1.9 14.9
Eric Atkins 0.425 0.488 0.347 0.62 2.4 5.1 1.1 0.2 2 14.4
James M. McAdoo 0.466 0.466 0.47 7.6 1.6 1.2 0.8 1.4 13.8
Okaro White 0.514 0.581 0.258 0.767 6.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 13.3
Talib Zanna 0.538 0.543 0 0.659 8.8 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 13.1
Seth Allen 0.4 0.457 0.362 0.756 2.3 3 0.9 0.3 1.8 13.1
Tyler Ennis 0.415 0.43 0.366 0.75 3.4 5.7 1.5 0.2 2.1 12.6
Joe Harris 0.405 0.368 0.433 0.617 2.2 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.9 11.5

Monday, February 24, 2014

All-ACC Candidate List

Because of the quick turnaround between the final game of the season and the All-ACC ballots being due, you have to start this legwork early. This is my exercise at getting the list of candidates to a manageable number.

My basic criteria were (ACC play only)
1. Offensive rating for the season over 100
2. Used in more than 20% of their team's possessions
3. Played at least 20 minutes per game

I added back two players - C.J. Fair who just misses the ORtg qualification in conference play. His insanely high usage rate means you have to give him more credit than ORtg is doing alone. These numbers aren't meant to be a be-all, end-all by any means just a way to cull the candidate pool.

Here's the final candidate list, a total of 30 players that will need to be chopped in half in 14 days, order by usage.

Player Team Usage% ORtg
T.J. Warren NC State 32.73 107.72
Jabari Parker Duke 32.33 106.06
Lamar Patterson Pittsburgh 31.03 105.21
K.J. McDaniels Clemson 29.36 111.34
Garrick Sherman Notre Dame 28.07 95.77
James Michael McAdoo North Carolina 26.27 103.99
Olivier Hanlan Boston College 26.25 113.73
Ian Miller Florida State 26.07 111.56
Ryan Anderson Boston College 25.95 104.35
C.J. Fair Syracuse 25.34 99.07
Dezmine Wells Maryland 25.23 111.99
Aaron Thomas Florida State 24.23 110.72
Rion Brown Miami (FL) 24.01 118.89
Seth Allen Maryland 23.25 110.11
Malcolm Brogdon Virginia 22.85 124.72
Joe Harris Virginia 22.7 116.77
Talib Zanna Pittsburgh 22.38 109.4
Eric Atkins Notre Dame 22.28 107.83
Tyler Ennis Syracuse 22.26 111.66
Rodney Hood Duke 22.09 117.44
Okaro White Florida State 21.98 113.47
Mike Tobey Virginia 21.97 100.9
Quinn Cook Duke 21.87 111.73
Marcus Paige North Carolina 21.41 116.16
Tyler Cavanaugh Wake Forest 21.25 102.79
Evan Smotrycz Maryland 21.16 101.2
Daniel Miller Georgia Tech 21.1 106.83
Rasheed Sulaimon Duke 20.76 119.64
Jerami Grant Syracuse 20.7 113.73