Monday, March 3, 2014

All-ACC: 20 Finalists with Advanced Stats

This is my personal list of the 20 most deserving players for All-ACC consideration.

I've provided some general advanced stats for each player, using only ACC play. You'll notice no per game stats here because I want to be tempo neutral to even out the discrepancy between how UNC plays and how Virginia or Syracuse play.

I initially had Win Shares included here for those that wanted to judge based on not only value to the team but value to overall wins, but to me those numbers made no sense (Eric Atkins was in the top five, as was Rion Brown), so I ditched them. Good job, good effort Win Shares but you aren't there yet.

These are mostly offensive stats, with some basic defensive stuff like defensive rebounding, steals and blocks.

Note: All columns are sortable just click on the header

Player eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg
T.J. Warren 0.553 10.2 10 10.1 7.1 3.2 1.9 11.2 35.5 112.8
Jabari Parker 0.473 14.6 23.6 19 5.7 2.0 4.6 13.1 31.4 109.5
Lamar Patterson 0.477 4.1 13.1 8.7 29.9 2.7 1 14.8 30.4 109.7
K.J. McDaniels 0.484 9.4 15.6 12.6 12.4 2.3 8.2 13.6 28.5 110.8
C.J. Fair 0.435 4.5 16.4 10.3 6.2 1.5 2.9 9.3 26.4 101.4
Olivier Hanlan 0.53 1.5 8.8 5.3 19.3 1.3 0.3 12.5 26.2 118.2
James M. McAdoo 0.466 11.5 15.4 13.5 10.7 2.2 2.7 8.8 25.3 105.8
Rion Brown 0.529 4.1 14.7 9.4 12.4 1.1 0.6 7.3 25.1 119
Aaron Thomas 0.489 4.4 11.4 8.2 13 1.9 0.8 12.7 24.1 116.3
Dezmine Wells 0.515 2.3 10.7 6.5 15.9 2.2 1.8 16 23.9 116.4
Malcolm Brogdon 0.511 4.3 16.9 10.8 21.1 2.7 0.2 7.2 23.6 128.7
Rodney Hood 0.538 1.9 10.5 6.1 12.8 1.4 0.7 8.9 23.5 117.3
Joe Harris 0.528 2.2 7.6 5 21.5 2.9 1.3 8.1 23.3 118.5
Seth Allen 0.509 2.3 6.1 4.2 21 1.8 0.9 13 23.1 111.6
Okaro White 0.541 7.8 15.9 12.2 5 1.6 3.7 12.9 21.9 119.5
Eric Atkins 0.502 2.6 5 3.8 25.4 1.8 0.5 12.5 21.8 110.4
Talib Zanna 0.538 14.6 19.8 17.2 2.3 1.2 3.3 12.5 21.6 121
Marcus Paige 0.519 1.2 7.6 4.4 25.4 2.5 0.5 12.8 21.3 119.4
Tyler Ennis 0.456 2.5 8.3 5.3 31.4 2.7 0.7 14.1 21.1 112.3


Traditional Stats 

Just for comparison's sake

Player FG% 2P% 3P% FT% TRB AST STL BLK TOV PTS
T.J. Warren 0.519 0.556 0.357 0.68 6.1 0.9 1.8 0.6 2.7 24.5
Olivier Hanlan 0.449 0.518 0.364 0.814 3 2.9 0.8 0.1 2.1 17.8
Lamar Patterson 0.395 0.42 0.364 0.747 4.8 4.6 1.5 0.3 2.9 17.5
K.J. McDaniels 0.444 0.532 0.254 0.818 7.6 1.6 1.2 2.7 2.5 17.1
Jabari Parker 0.441 0.485 0.286 0.718 9.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 2.4 16.9
C.J. Fair 0.414 0.443 0.262 0.71 6.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.8 16.2
Rion Brown 0.438 0.529 0.352 0.721 5.5 1.6 0.6 0.2 1.1 15.9
Marcus Paige 0.42 0.46 0.383 0.828 2.9 4.9 1.5 0.2 2.1 15.8
Rodney Hood 0.441 0.457 0.423 0.778 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.4 15.5
Dezmine Wells 0.494 0.549 0.241 0.823 3.6 2.4 1.2 0.5 2.4 15.3
Malcolm Brogdon 0.452 0.463 0.423 0.903 5.8 3 1.4 0.1 1 15
Aaron Thomas 0.422 0.425 0.417 0.866 4.6 2 1.1 0.2 1.9 14.9
Eric Atkins 0.425 0.488 0.347 0.62 2.4 5.1 1.1 0.2 2 14.4
James M. McAdoo 0.466 0.466 0.47 7.6 1.6 1.2 0.8 1.4 13.8
Okaro White 0.514 0.581 0.258 0.767 6.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 13.3
Talib Zanna 0.538 0.543 0 0.659 8.8 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 13.1
Seth Allen 0.4 0.457 0.362 0.756 2.3 3 0.9 0.3 1.8 13.1
Tyler Ennis 0.415 0.43 0.366 0.75 3.4 5.7 1.5 0.2 2.1 12.6
Joe Harris 0.405 0.368 0.433 0.617 2.2 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.9 11.5

Monday, February 24, 2014

All-ACC Candidate List

Because of the quick turnaround between the final game of the season and the All-ACC ballots being due, you have to start this legwork early. This is my exercise at getting the list of candidates to a manageable number.

My basic criteria were (ACC play only)
1. Offensive rating for the season over 100
2. Used in more than 20% of their team's possessions
3. Played at least 20 minutes per game

I added back two players - C.J. Fair who just misses the ORtg qualification in conference play. His insanely high usage rate means you have to give him more credit than ORtg is doing alone. These numbers aren't meant to be a be-all, end-all by any means just a way to cull the candidate pool.

Here's the final candidate list, a total of 30 players that will need to be chopped in half in 14 days, order by usage.

Player Team Usage% ORtg
T.J. Warren NC State 32.73 107.72
Jabari Parker Duke 32.33 106.06
Lamar Patterson Pittsburgh 31.03 105.21
K.J. McDaniels Clemson 29.36 111.34
Garrick Sherman Notre Dame 28.07 95.77
James Michael McAdoo North Carolina 26.27 103.99
Olivier Hanlan Boston College 26.25 113.73
Ian Miller Florida State 26.07 111.56
Ryan Anderson Boston College 25.95 104.35
C.J. Fair Syracuse 25.34 99.07
Dezmine Wells Maryland 25.23 111.99
Aaron Thomas Florida State 24.23 110.72
Rion Brown Miami (FL) 24.01 118.89
Seth Allen Maryland 23.25 110.11
Malcolm Brogdon Virginia 22.85 124.72
Joe Harris Virginia 22.7 116.77
Talib Zanna Pittsburgh 22.38 109.4
Eric Atkins Notre Dame 22.28 107.83
Tyler Ennis Syracuse 22.26 111.66
Rodney Hood Duke 22.09 117.44
Okaro White Florida State 21.98 113.47
Mike Tobey Virginia 21.97 100.9
Quinn Cook Duke 21.87 111.73
Marcus Paige North Carolina 21.41 116.16
Tyler Cavanaugh Wake Forest 21.25 102.79
Evan Smotrycz Maryland 21.16 101.2
Daniel Miller Georgia Tech 21.1 106.83
Rasheed Sulaimon Duke 20.76 119.64
Jerami Grant Syracuse 20.7 113.73